East Africa Drought Watch

_images/intro.png

The East Africa Drought Watch is a near-real time system that uses Earth Observation and Weather information to monitor drought conditions in the East Africa region. It contain drought-relevant information such as maps of indicators derived from different data sources (e.g., precipitation measurements, satellite measurements, modelled soil moisture content). Different tools, like Graphs and Compare Layers, allow for displaying and analysing the information and drought reports give an overview of the situation in case of imminent droughts.

The system is a service developed as part of the Intra-ACP Climate Services Project in collaboration with the Drought Unit at the Joint Research Centre of the European Commission. The system is an adaptation of the European Drought Observatory (EDO) adapted to the conditions in the East Africa region The (JRC) currently operates two Drought Observatories (DO): the European Drought Observatory (EDO) and the Global Drought Observatory (GDO) . These platforms are based on a shared technical platform that implements the above components and other additional enhancements.

See also

To download a PDF version of this guide use East Africa Drought Watch Manual

About

General information

The East Africa Drought Watch is a near-real time system that uses Earth Observation and Weather information to monitor drought conditions in the East Africa region. It contain drought-relevant information such as maps of indicators derived from different data sources (e.g., precipitation measurements, satellite measurements, modelled soil moisture content). Different tools, like Graphs and Compare Layers, allow for displaying and analysing the information and drought reports give an overview of the situation in case of imminent droughts.

_images/situation.png

See also

To download a PDF version of this guide use East Africa Drought Watch Manual

Authors

The system is a service developed as part of the Intra-ACP Climate Services Project in collaboration with the Drought Unit at the Joint Research Centre of the European Commission. The system is an adaptation of the European Drought Observatory (EDO) adapted to the conditions in the East Africa region The (JRC) currently operates two Drought Observatories (DO): European Drought Observatory (EDO) and the Global Drought Observatory (GDO). These platforms are based on a shared technical platform that implements the above components and other additional enhancements.

_images/partners.png

Get in Touch

Contact the Drought Watch team with any comments or suggestions. If you have specific bugs to report or improvements to the tool that you would like to suggest, you can also submit them through our contact us form https://droughtwatch.icpac.net/contact/ .

Frequently Asked Questions

Datasets

How is the Combined Drought Indicator computed?

Combined Drought Indicator based on SPI (from CHIRPS), soil moisture and fAPAR, to identify areas with potential to suffer agricultural drought, areas where the vegetation is already affected by drought conditions, and areas in recovery process to normal conditions after a drought episode. The method is based in 5 impact levels.

These levels are:

  • ‘Watch’ when a relevant precipitation shortage is observed,

  • ‘Warning’ when this precipitation shortage comes with a soil moisture anomaly,

  • ‘Alert’ when these two conditions are accompanied with an anomaly in the vegetation condition,

  • ‘Partial recovery’ when after a drought episode, the meteorological conditions are recovered to normal but not the vegetation conditions,

  • ‘Full recovery’ when meteorological and vegetation normal conditions are recovered.

See also

For more information refer to Combined Drought indicator (CDI) section

Also Download CDI Factsheet


When will the next CDI be generated?

CDI is computed based on availability of SPI, fAPAR Anomaly and Soil Moisture Anomaly data as shown in the table below.

CDI (dekad)

fAPAR Anomaly (dekad)

SMA (dekad)

SPI (month)

1st

1st (same month

as CDI)

3rd (previous month

from CDI)

previous month

from CDI

2nd

2nd (same month

as CDI)

1st (same month

as CDI)

previous month

from CDI

3rd

3rd (same month

as CDI)

2nd (same month

as CDI)

same month

as CDI

To elaborate the above table better, below is an example of computation of dekadal CDI for the month of November.

CDI (dekad)

fAPAR Anomaly (dekad)

SMA (dekad)

SPI (month)

1st Dekad

November

1st Dekad

November

3rd Dekad

October

October

2nd Dekad

November

2nd Dekad

November

1st Dekad

November

October

3rd Dekad

November

3rd Dekad

November

2nd Dekad November

November

Availability of fAPAR Anomaly and Soil Moisture Anomaly datasets is approximately during the dates shown below.

Month

Dekad

Data availability dates (these

are the dates when fAPAR Anomaly

and Soil Moisture will be made

available on JRC Jeodpp)

FAPAR Anomaly

Soil Moisture Anomaly

January

1st

18th January

21st January

2nd

26th January

1st February

3rd

3rd February

11th February

February

1st

19th February

21st February

2nd

27th February

1st March

3rd

7th March

11th March

March

1st

15th March

21st March

2nd

23rd March

1st April

3rd

8th April

11th April

April

1st

16th April

21st April

2nd

24th April

1st May

3rd

2nd May

11th May

May

1st

18th May

21st May

2nd

26th May

1st June

3rd

3rd June

11th June

June

1st

19th June

21st June

2nd

27th June

1st July

3rd

5th July

11th July

July

1st

13th July

21st July

2nd

29th July

1st August

3rd

6th August

11th August

August

1st

14th August

21st August

2nd

22nd August

1st September

3rd

7th September

11th September

September

1st

15th September

21st September

2nd

23rd September

1st October

3rd

9th October

11th October

October

1st

17th October

21st October

2nd

25th October

1st November

3rd

2nd November

11th November

November

1st

18th November

21st November

2nd

26th November

1st December

3rd

4th December

11th December

December

1st

12th December

21st December

2nd

28th December

1st January

3rd

5th January

11th January


Is there an option to download raster data on the drought watch?

Both Geotiff and NetCDF Raster files for datasets on the mapviewer are available on drought watch’s https file server at https://droughtwatch.icpac.net/ftp . All files are grouped yearly and bands/time dimansions split based on the temporal resolution.


What is the rationale for having recovery levels on the CDI?

Recovery levels on the CDI highlight areas that have returned to their normal conditions after experiencing drought. Partial Recovery areas capture areas that have recovered to their normal meteorological conditions but not vegetation growth while Full Recovery areas have recovered to their normal meteorological and agricultural conditions.


Why is the Combined Drought Indicator saying an area is experiencing drought when I know it is not?

Generally the assessment of drought is done using individual indicators that are based on meteorological or hydrological data, or remote sensing imagery. The development of a combined indicator that integrates meteorological, hydrological and remote sensing data, can help to reduce false alarms, which may arise for example in the case of vegetation-based indicators (e.g. FAPAR Anomaly) where a biomass reduction can be caused by factors other than a drought-induced water stress.

The final output should be interpreted as showing areas potentially experiencing drought. Several factors could lead to the identification of patterns of drought occurence which do not seem to correlate to what is happening on the ground, the date of analysis being a very important one. While the Combined Drought Indicator integrates Soil Moisture Anomaly, SPI and fAPAR Anomaly data to yield its results, it is yet to integrate exposure/vulnerability information to furthur customize it for the region. It is also worth noting the accuracy of the CDI is constrained by the accuracy of the datasets it is derived from.

Plans are underway to develop a form to crowdsource ground truth information relating to the occurence of drought. In the meantime, feel free to drop your feedback at https://droughtwatch.icpac.net/contact/


Future Plans

Any plans on predicting drought?

Plans are underway to incorporate forecasted datasets relevant to drought e.g Forecasted SPI.

Do you plan to support raster data download for custom areas of interest?

In addition to supplying raster data for the entire region, development plans are underway to allow users to dynamically download raster files on the system for a subset of their area of interest.

Plans for analysis at lower admin levels?

Currently, the system allows for analysis at Administrative Level 1. Development is well underway to extend this analysis for lower administrative levels.

Any other future plans?

The development of the system is currently ongoing with plans to integrate periodic products disseminated as comprehensive reports to subscribed users, provide additional thematic datasets, perform drought forecasting, translate system warnings into impact-based information/warnings among other plans.

Background information

Combined Drought indicator (CDI)

Introduction

The meteorological, hydrological and satellite-derived biophysical upon which the CDI indicator produced by EADW is based, as well as the indicator’s temporal and spatial scales and geographic coverage, are summarised below.

Variable

  • Precipitation Anomalies (SPI)

  • fAPAR Anomalies

  • Soil Moisture Anomalies

Temporal Scale

10 days (= 1 dekad)

Spatial Scale

0.1 Decimal Degrees/10 km

Coverage

Greater Horn of Africa


Overview

Combined Drought Indicator based on SPI (from CHIRPS), soil moisture and fAPAR, to identify areas with potential to suffer agricultural drought, areas where the vegetation is already affected by drought conditions, and areas in recovery process to normal conditions after a drought episode. The method is based in 5 impact levels.

These levels are:

  • ‘Watch’ when a relevant precipitation shortage is observed,

  • ‘Warning’ when this precipitation shortage comes with a soil moisture anomaly,

  • ‘Alert’ when these two conditions are accompanied with an anomaly in the vegetation condition,

  • ‘Partial recovery’ when after a drought episode, the meteorological conditions are recovered to normal but not the vegetation conditions,

  • ‘Full recovery’ when meteorological and vegetation normal conditions are recovered.


What the indicator shows

Agricultural drought, which is one of the three main types of drought (the others being meteorological and hydrological droughts) that are defined according to the affected variables of the hydrological cycle, is characterized by a reduced crop production due to insufficient soil moisture.

The Combined Drought Indicator (CDI) identifies areas with the potential to suffer agricultural drought, areas where the vegetation is already affected by drought conditions, and areas in the process of recovery to normal conditions after a drought episode. The CDI is based on the cause-effect relationship for agricultural drought, whereby a shortage of precipitation leads to a soil moisture deficit, which in turn results in a reduction of vegetation productivity. The indicator is computed by combining anomalies of precipitation, soil moisture and satellite-measured plant growth - as measured by, respectively, indicators Standardized Precipitation Index, Soil Moisture Anomaly, and FAPAR Anomaly – using a classification scheme consisting of five drought levels (corresponding to the different stages of the cause-effect relationship for agricultural drought).

_images/cdi_calculate.png

How the indicator is computed

The Combined Drought Indicator (CDI) is derived by integrating the following three main drought indicators, which are implemented operationally within the system:

  1. Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI): The SPI indicator measures precipitation anomalies at a given location, based on a comparison of observed total precipitation amounts for an accumulation period of interest (e.g. 1, 3, 12, 48 months), with the long-term historic rainfall record for that period (McKee et al., 1993; Edwards and McKee, 1997).

  2. Soil Moisture Anomaly (SMA): The SMA indicator is derived from anomalies of estimated daily soil moisture (or soil water) content - represented as standardized soil moisture index (SMI) - which is produced by the JRC’s LISFLOOD hydrological model (de Roo et al. 2000), and which has been shown to be effective for drought detection purposes (Laguardia and Niemeyer, 2008).

  3. FAPAR Anomaly: The FAPAR Anomaly indicator is computed as deviations of the biophysical variable Fraction of Absorbed Photosynthetically Active Radiation (FAPAR), composited for 10- day intervals, from long-term mean values. Satellite-measured FAPAR represents the fraction of incident solar radiation that is absorbed by land vegetation for photosynthesis, and is effective for detecting and assessing drought impacts on vegetation canopies (Gobron et al., 2005).

The one-month, three-month, nine-month and twelve-month Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI-1 and SPI-3) are used for computing the CDI. Several studies (e.g. Ji and Peter, 2003; Rossi and Niemeyer, 2012) have shown that SPI-3 has the strongest correlation with the vegetation response, and is therefore the most suitable for identifying agricultural drought, whereas SPI-1 can detect extreme short-term dryness that can dramatically affect the vegetation condition depending on its stage of development.

For SPI-3, SPI-9, SPI-12, FAPAR Anomaly and Soil Moisture Anomaly (SMA) indicators, a threshold of minus one (-1) standard deviation is used, which equates to a return period of 6.3 years, and corresponds to “moderate drought”, according to the SPI classification of McKee et al. (1993). In the case of SPI-1, a threshold of minus two (-2) standard deviations is used, corresponding only to cases identified as extreme drought. The classification scheme that is used to assign areas to one of the five drought classes is summarised BELOW as well as the colour scheme used for depiction in the CDI maps

_images/derive_cdi.png

In applying the classification scheme, a temporal lag between the three components of the CDI is implemented. Thus, SPI of a given month is contrasted with soil moisture anomalies of the 2nd and 3rd dekads of that month, and with the 1st dekad of the following month, and with FAPAR anomalies of the 3rd dekad of that month and the 1st and 2nd dekads of the following month. Each month is assumed to have three dekads (days 1-10; days 11-20; day 21 to the end of the month)


How to use the indicator

An assessment of the behaviour of the Combined Drought Indicator (CDI) for the main droughts between 2010 and 2021 demonstrated the CDI’s capability to discriminate the areas where the drought impacts were most severe.

The CDI was able to identify the areas suffering more severely the drought. . It also shows its potential as an early warning system, identifying the areas with potential to suffer drought effects (i.e. “Watch”), later on confirming this (i.e. “Warning”) and identifying the areas where the vegetation condition was being affected (i.e. “Alert”).

_images/time_series_cdi.png

Strengths

  • Generally the assessment of drought is done using individual indicators that are based on meteorological or hydrological data, or remote sensing imagery. The development of a combined indicator that integrates meteorological, hydrological and remote sensing data, can help to reduce false alarms, which may arise for example in the case of vegetation-based indicators (e.g. FAPAR Anomaly) where a biomass reduction can be caused by factors other than a drought-induced water stress.

  • An integrated approach that provides a convergence of indicators and therefore evidence of drought, can also support policy-makers in effective risk management and decision-making.


Weaknesses

  • The satellite-derived FAPAR Anomaly indicator is based on reflected solar radiation, with wavelengths in the optical (i.e. visible and infrared wavelength) region of the electromagnetic spectrum, and is therefore not effective in the presence of clouds. Clouds are generally masked out before the indicator is computed. However, low clouds are not always detected, resulting in erroneous indicator values. This is a particular problem in northern European countries. One way to address this issue would be to use more than one indicator related to vegetation growth.


References

  • De Roo, A., C. Wesseling, and W. van Deursen. 2000. Physically based river basin

    modelling within a GIS: the LISFLOOD model, Hydrological Processes, 14, 1981–1992. https://doi.org/10.1002/1099-1085(20000815/30)14:11/12<1981::AIDHYP49>3.0.CO;2-F

  • Edwards, D.C. and T.B. McKee. 1997. Characteristics of 20th Century Drought in

    the United States at Multiple Time Scales. Climatology Report Number 97-2. Colorado State University, Fort Collins.

  • Gobron N., B. Pinty, F. Mélin, M. Taberner, M.M. Verstraete, A. Belward, T. Lavergne,

    and J.-L. Widlowski. 2005. The state of vegetation in Europe following the 2003 drought. International Journal of Remote Sensing, 26 (9): 2013-2020. https://doi.org/10.1080/01431160412331330293

  • Ji, L. and A. Peters. 2003. Assessing vegetation response to drought in the northern

    Great Plains using vegetation and drought indices. Remote Sens. Environ., 87: 85-98

  • McKee, T.B., N.J. Doesken and J. Kleist. 1993. The relationship of drought frequency

    and duration to time scale. In: Proceedings of the Eighth Conference on Applied Climatology, Anaheim, California, 17–22 January 1993. Boston, American Meteorological Society, 179–184.

  • Laguardia, G. and S. Niemeyer. 2008. On the comparison between the LISFLOOD

    modelled and the ERS/SCAT derived soil moisture estimates. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 12, 1339- 1351. https://www.hydrol-earth-systsci.net/12/1339/2008/

  • Rossi, S. and S. Niemeyer. 2012. Drought Monitoring with estimates of the Fraction

    of Absorbed Photosynthetically-active Radiation (fAPAR) derived from MERIS. In: Wardlow, B., M. Anderson, and J. Verdin (Editors). Remote Sensing for Drought: Innovative Monitoring Approaches. CRC Press, and Taylor and Francis, Boca Raton, FL, USA. Pages 95-116.

  • Sepulcre-Canto, G., S. Horion, A. Singleton, H. Carrão, and J. Vogt. 2012.

    Development of a Combined Drought Indicator to detect agricultural drought in Europe. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 12, 3519-3531.

Download CDI Factsheet

Download CDI Data

Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI)

The SPI is a statistical index comparing the total precipitation received at a particular location during a period of n months with the long-term precipitation distribution for the same period of time at that location (reference period is 1981-2010).

_images/timeseries_spi.png

The SPI indicator shows the anomalies (deviations from the mean) of the observed total precipitation, for any given location and accumulation period of interest.

Currenlty, th system implements two SPI products generated from their repsective sources computed using the same procedure:

  1. CHIRPS Based SPI:

    • Spatial Resolution : 0.05 Decimal degrees or 5km

    • Source :

  2. GPCC Based SPI

    • Spatial Resolution : 1 Decimal degrees or 100km

    • Source :

Both SPI products are generated monthly for a range of accumulation periods covering the Greater Horn of Africa.


Overview

The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) is the most commonly used indicator worldwide for detecting and characterizing meteorological droughts. The SPI indicator, which was developed by McKee et al. (1993), and described in detail by Edwards and McKee (1997), measures precipitation anomalies at a given location, based on a comparison of observed total precipitation amounts for an accumulation period of interest (e.g. 1, 3, 12, 48 months), with the long-term historic rainfall record for that period.

The historic record is fitted to a probability distribution (the “gamma” distribution), which is then transformed into a normal distribution such that the mean SPI value for that location and period is zero. For any given region, increasingly severe rainfall deficits (i.e., meteorological droughts) are indicated as SPI decreases below ‒1.0, while increasingly severe excess rainfall are indicated as SPI increases above 1.0.

Because SPI values are in units of standard deviation from the long-term mean, the indicator can be used to compare precipitation anomalies for any geographic location and for any number of time-scales. Note that the name of the indicator is usually modified to include the accumulation period. Thus, SPI-3 and SPI-12, for example, refer to accumulation periods of three and twelve months, respectively.

The World Meteorological Organization has recommended that the SPI be used by all National Meteorological and Hydrological Services around the world to characterize meteorological droughts (World Meteorological Organization, 2012). The long-term gamma distribution of our product is based on data from a reference period from 1981 to 2010 (included). The data included in the SPI-48 (4 years SPI) are thus based on monthly rainfall input data from 1978 until 2010


What the indicator shows

A meteorological drought is defined as a period with an abnormal precipitation deficit, in relation to the long-term average conditions for a region.

The SPI indicator shows the anomalies (deviations from the mean) of the observed total precipitation, for any given location and accumulation period of interest. The magnitude of the departure from the mean is a probabilistic measure of the severity of a wet or dry event.

Since SPI can be calculated over different precipitation accumulation periods (typically ranging from 1 to 48 months), the resulting different SPI indicators allow for estimating different potential impacts of a meteorological drought:

_images/spi_accumulations.png

How the indicator is computed

For SPI based on CHIRPS, it is computed using CHIRPS/CHIRP Precipitation data from the UC Santa Barbara, specifically ‘Preliminary’ product (CHIRP) for the first 3 weeks of the previous month prior to current month, then updated to ‘Monitoring/final’ product (CHIRPS) within the 3rd week of the same month depending on availability.

For SPI Based on GPCC, it is computed from the monthly precipitation data provided by the Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC - http://gpcc.dwd.de/), specifically ‘First guess’ product for the two months prior to current month, then updated to ‘Monitoring (version 4)’ product for the three months prior to current and backwards.

A Gamma distribution is fit onto the baseline data of reference period 1981-2010 generating both alpha (shape parameter of the gamma distribution (also referred to as the concentration) computed from the {scale}-month scaled precipitation values) and beta (1 / scale of the distribution (also referred to as the rate) computed from the {scale}-month scaled precipitation values) parameters for a period of 7 accumulation months (1, 3, 6, 9, 12, 24, 48).

The SPI is computed based on measurements of precipitation anomalies at a given location, from a comparison of observed total precipitation amounts for an accumulation period of interest with the long-term historic rainfall record for that period.


How to use the indicator

Increasingly severe rainfall deficits (i.e., meteorological droughts) are indicated as SPI decreases below ‒1.0, while increasingly severe excess rainfall is indicated as SPI increases above 1.0. In EADW, the SPI indicator can be displayed either in the form of maps, or as time series graphs in a report

_images/spi_legend.png

Strengths

  • The fact that SPI values are in units of standard deviation from the long-term mean, allows SPI to be computed and compared for any geographic location and for any number of time scales.

  • In addition, because the SPI is normalized it is just as effective in analysing wet periods and cycles, as it is in analysing dry periods and cycles.

  • The SPI indicator is based on only one input parameter (precipitation accumulations), and thus it is less complex to compute than other drought indicators, such as the Palmer Drought Severity Index, which also takes account of variations in temperature, soil moisture and evapotranspiration.


Weaknesses

  • As mentioned earlier, the parameters of the gamma distribution are calculated (fitted) using historical non-zero rainfall accumulations. The cumulative probability of observed rainfall is then adjusted using the probability (frequency) of zero rainfall accumulations. However, if there are many historical zero rainfall accumulations, the estimated gamma distribution may not adequately fit the frequency distribution of the historical rainfall. Therefore, in regions with a high probability of zero rainfall, the SPI indicator should be interpreted with care. In such cases (typical of arid climates), the concept of a drought needs to be adapted, and it may be best to restrict SPI calculation and analysis to the normal rainy season, or to use alternative drought indicators.

  • Because SPI is based only on precipitation, it does not address the effects of high temperatures on drought conditions, such as by damaging cultivated and natural ecosystems, and increasing evapotranspiration and water stress. A new variation of SPI, the Standardized Precipitation and Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI), has been developed (Vicente-Serrano et al., 2010), which includes precipitation and temperature, in order to identify increases in drought severity linked with higher water demand by evapotranspiration. The SPEI has the advantage over the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI), for example, in that it captures the “multiscalar” characteristic of drought, whereby water deficits accumulate over different timescales, differentiating between hydrological, environmental, agricultural, and other droughts.


References

  • Abramowitz, M. and I. A. Stegun (eds). 1964. Handbook of Mathematical Functions

    with Formulas, Graphs, and Mathematical Tables. National Bureau of Standards, Applied Mathematics Series, 55.

  • Edwards, D.C. and T.B. McKee. 1997. Characteristics of 20th Century Drought in

    the United States at Multiple Time Scales. Climatology Report Number 97-2. Colorado State University, Fort Collins.

  • Greenwood, J.A., and D. Durand, 1960. Aids for fitting the gamma distribution by

    maximum likelihood. Technometrics, 2, 55-65.

  • Haylock, M.R., N. Hofstra, A.M.G. Klein Tank, E.J. Klok, P.D. Jones, and M. New. 2008: A

    European daily high-resolution gridded dataset of surface temperature and precipitation. Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 113, D20119, doi:10.1029/2008JD10201

  • McKee, T.B., N.J. Doesken and J. Kleist. 1993. The relationship of drought frequency

    and duration to time scale. In: Proceedings of the Eighth Conference on Applied Climatology, Anaheim, California, 17–22 January 1993. Boston, American Meteorological Society, 179–184.

  • Press, W.H., S.A. Teukolsky, W.T. Vetterling, and B.P. Flannery. 1992. Numerical

    Recipes in C: The Art of Scientific Computing. 2nd Edition. Cambridge University Press. ISBN 0-521-43108-5. 994p. Thom, H.C.S. 1958. A Note on the Gamma Distribution. Monthly Weather Review, 86(4).

  • Vicente-Serrano, S.M., S. Beguería and J.I. López-Moreno. 2010. A multi-scalar

    drought index sensitive to global warming: the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index. Journal of Climate, 23(7): 1696-1718. https://doi.org/10.1175/2009JCLI2909.1.

  • World Meteorological Organization. 2012. Standardized Precipitation Index User

    Guide. (M. Svoboda, M. Hayes and D. Wood). WMO-No. 1090. Geneva. ISBN 978-92- 63-11091-6. 16p

Fraction of Absorbed Photosynthetically Active Radiation (FAPAR)

The Fraction of Absorbed Photosynthetically Active Radiation (FAPAR) is biophysical variable, derived from satellite observations, that represents the fraction of incident solar radiation that is absorbed by land vegetation for photosynthesis.

_images/fapar_map.png

Overview

The FAPAR Anomaly indicator is computed as deviations of the satellite-measured biophysical variable Fraction of Absorbed Photosynthetically Active Radiation (FAPAR, sometimes written as fAPAR or FPAR), composited for 10-day intervals, from its long-term mean values. FAPAR is one of the 50 so-called “Essential Climate Variables” (ECVs) that have been defined by the Global Climate Observing System (GCOS) as being both feasible for global climate observation, and important to support the work of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) (Bojinski et al., 2014). (Of the 50 ECVs, 26 are listed as being significantly dependent on satellite observations).

FAPAR values and their anomalies have been shown to be good indicators for detecting and assessing drought impacts on plant canopies, such as agricultural crops and natural vegetation (Gobron et al., 2005), and thus provide information that is potentially useful for water and agricultural management purposes.

Both fAPAR and fAPAR Anomalies are made available every ten days sourced from the Global Drought Observatory.

Read more (GDO factsheet)

Soil Moisture Anomaly (SMA)

The Soil Moisture Anomaly is used in determining the start and duration of agricultural drought conditions, which arise when soil moisture availability to plants drops to such a level that it adversely affects crop yield, and hence, agricultural production

_images/sma_map.png

Overview

Soil moisture anomaly maps are computed on a 30-day moving window at a spatial resolution of 0.1 decimal degrees and updated every 10 days.

Moving windows have an ordinal reference:

  • 1st window of month M goes from day 11 of month M-1 to day 10 of month M (e.g. 1st window of December goes from November 11 to December 10)

  • 2nd window of month M goes from day 21 of month M-1 to day 20 of month M (e.g. 2nd window of June goes from May 21 to June 20)

  • 3rd window of month M covers the whole month M, i.e. from day 1 to the end (e.g. 3rd window of March goes from March 1 to March 31)

The index is computed as a weighted average of three standardized variables: 1) LISFLOOD root zone soil moisture, 2) MODIS Land Surface Temperature, and 3) ESA CCI remote sensing skin soil moisture. All three variables are standardized on the same baseline period 2001-2016 and the weighting factors are computed as described in Cammalleri, C., Vogt, J. V., Bisselink, B., & de Roo, A. (2017). Comparing soil moisture anomalies from multiple independent sources over different regions across the globe. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 21(12), 6329.

The full ensemble of the three models is provided up to the second-to-last dekad, whereas the last dekad is a ‘first-guess’ estimate based only on LISFLOOD and MODIS LST data.

SMA is made available every ten days sourced from the Global Drought Observatory.

Read more (GDO factsheet)

User Guide

Introduction

This section guides Drought Watch end-users on how to utilize functionalities within the system. The system contains drought-relevant information such as maps of indicators derived from different data sources. It provides various tools like analytical graphs and interactive layer interaction allowing for display and analysis this drought information and drought reports give an overview of the situation in case of imminent droughts.

_images/mapviewer.png

Visit the system at https://droughtwatch.icpac.net

It comprises of:

  • A web-GIS environment:

    • Weather and Earth Observation (EO) indicators

    • Automatic warnings regarding developing or actual drought events every 10 days

    • Additional indicators showing recovery process after drought events

  • A statistics dashboard:

    • Indicators statistics aggregated at sub-national level(s)

    • Additional information such as periodic reports

On the landing page of the system (https://droughtwatch.icpac.net), the latest situation of drought based on the Combined Drought Indicator is displayed. This Indicator is based on SPI, Soil moisture and fAPAR, to identify areas with potential to suffer agricultural drought, areas where the vegetation is already affected by drought conditions, and areas in recovery process to normal conditions after a drought episode. More details

_images/situation.png

Within the user guide, you will be able to undestand how to:

  • Interact with the mapviewer

  • Generate drought-relevant reports

  • Give feedback/questions relating to the System

East Africa Drought Watch Mapviewer

The East Africa Drought Watch Mapviewer is an interactive user-interface containing drought-related layers generated over a period of time from Earth Observation and Station data.

_images/mapviewer_wide.png

Visualization of raster layers for selected weather and biophysical indicators and anomalies

The system’s mapviewer houses a number of layers. Each layer can be displayed on the map through toggling it on and off. A legend will be displayed on the right for each layer that has been activated.

_images/layers.png

For multilayers, a secondary layer will appear on the legend which can also be toggled on and off.

To facilitate better image interpretation, it is possible to change the opacity for activated layers within the legend (1). It is also possible to rearrange the order of activated layers(2) by dragging them from to top or bottom on the legend.

_images/legend_tools.png

Layer metadata

_images/layer_info.png

Inorder to have an indepth understanding on how layers are generated/computed, each layer contains metadata that is accessible using the info icon beside the layer name. The layer metadata includes:

  • The function

  • Resolution

  • Geographic coverage

  • Source

  • Frequency of updates

  • General Overview of the layer

  • Citation

  • Caution

  • License

  • Link to learn more (factsheets) or download raster data

_images/metadata.png

Retrieve pixel value

To retrieve the value of a pixel of interest on the map, click on this pixel. A popup appears displaying a drop-down of activated layers, the selected date, the location and the value for this pixel. Switch between activated layers using the dropdown to view dataset values for the same pixel.

_images/identify.png

Manage Map Settings

To acces map settings click on the ‘Default’ map image at the bottom right corner of the mapviewer. Map settings allow you to:

  1. Disable/Enable admin boundaries

  2. Show/hide labes on the map

  3. Show/hide roads on the map

_images/map_settings.png

Manage Map Styles

To switch between various basemaps, click on the ‘Default’ map image at the bottom right corner of the mapviewer and select a basemap of preference.

_images/map_styles.png

Report Generation

In addition to the mapviewer, the East Afric Drought Watch allows for generation of drought reports at admin level 1 based on the pixel of interest and the time period selected. These drought reports contain both maps and graphs giving a summarized analysis of the situation of each drought layer.

To generate a report, click on a pixel of interst on the mapviewer and select ‘generate report button’ on the popup. This will redirect you to the dashboard/report page for the drought watch.

_images/generate_report.png _images/view_report.png

Feedback Mechanism

Contact the Drought Watch team with any comments or suggestions. If you have specific bugs to report or improvements to the tool that you would like to suggest, you can also submit them through our contact us form https://droughtwatch.icpac.net/contact/ .

_images/contact_us.png

Data Manager Guide

Introduction

This section is meant for guiding data managers in standardizing station data files of varying formats and structures to a standard CSV File using a read-in tool integrated within the CMS. This read-in tool enables reformat station data from memeber countries from .docx or .xlsx to standard csv and preview reformatted data before download locally. Supported countries are:

  • Uganda - daily,

  • Rwanda - daily,

  • Djibouti - daily,

  • Tanzania - dekadal,

  • Sudan - dekadal,

  • Ethiopia - daily

  • Burundi - daily

Note

Only admin/superuser and users with data manager role can access this section of the CMS.

Usage

Prerequisites

The read-in tool supports xlsx, xls and docx formats. All doc should be converted to docx before reformatting. This tool assumes country-specific structures remain consistent.

Note

a slight change in the structure of the raw station file may lead to unsuccessful reformatting.

Logging in

The first port of call for an editor is the login page for the administrator interface. Access this by adding /cms onto the end of your root URL (e.g. https://droughtwatch.icpac.net/cms). Enter your username and password and click Sign in.

_images/login.png

Creating/Updating Stations

As a data manager on the CMS, you are capable of creating new stations which will be referenced during reformating. To create a station, follow the steps below:

First, select ‘snippets’ on the left sidebar then select Stations.

_images/add_station.png _images/create_station.png

Fill the fields appropriately and save.

_images/add_station_info.png

Reformat Station Data

Daily data

For daily station data:

  1. Select country from list

  2. Load station-specific data file

  3. Select year and month. (days will be automatically picked from the station file)

_images/daily_data_reformat.png

A preview of the reformatted station data will be shown.

_images/daily_data_preview.png

The tool allows download of reformatted data in csv, shapefile or geojson format.

Dekadal data

For dekadal station data:

  1. Select country from list

  2. Load station-specific data file

  3. Select date

_images/dekadal_data_reformat.png

A preview of the reformatted station data will be shown.

_images/dekadal_data_preview.png

Maintenance Guide

Introduction

This section describes the basic information necessary to perform system maintenance functions, such as adding static page content to on the system pages, styling, activating and publishing layers displayed on the mapviewer, adding or updating layer metadata information, specifying layer time interval and symbology type, etc.

This guide will begin with a walkthrough of the Content Management System’s elements and functionalities, followed by a guide on how to update static content and finally describe mapviewer layer maintenance procedures.

The Content Management System is built upon Wagtail, an open source content management system based on the Django framework and designed to be super easy to use for both developers and editors.

Overall CMS Components

Logging in

The first port of call for an editor is the login page for the administrator interface. Access this by adding /cms onto the end of your root URL (e.g. https://droughtwatch.icpac.net/cms). Enter your username and password and click Sign in.

_images/login.png

Finding your way around

You will learn about different pages that you will see as you navigate around the CMS, and how you can find the content that you are looking for.

The Dashboard

The Dashboard provides information on:

  • The number of pages, images, and documents currently held in the Mukau CMS:

  • Any pages currently awaiting moderation (if you have these privileges)

  • Any pages that you’ve locked (if your administrator has enabled author-specific locking)

  • Your most recently edited pages

You can return to the Dashboard at any time by clicking the Wagtail logo in the bottom-right of the screen.

_images/cms_dashboard.png
  • Clicking the logo returns you to your Dashboard. The stats at the top of the page describe the total amount of content on the CMS.

  • The Your pages in a workflow panel shows you any pages in moderation that you own or submitted for moderation yourself, along with which moderation tasks they are awaiting, and how long they’ve been on that task.

  • The Awaiting your review panel will only be displayed if you are able to perform moderation actions.

    • Clicking the name of a page will take you to the ‘Edit page’ interface for this page.

    • Clicking approve or request changes will either progress the page to the next task in the moderation workflow (or publish if it’s the final stage) or mark the page as needing changes and return it to normal editing. An email will be sent to the creator of the page giving the result of the overall workflow when it completes.

    • The status indicator circles show the progress through the workflow: a tick for a completed task, or an empty circle for an incomplete one. Tooltips provide more details on the status of each.

    • The time this page has been waiting for review on this task is also shown to the right.

  • The Your locked pages panel shows the pages you’ve locked so that only you can edit them.

    • The date you locked the page is displayed to the right.

    • Clicking the name of a page will take you to the ‘Edit page’ interface for this page.

  • The Your most recent edits table displays the five pages that you most recently edited.

    • The date that you edited the page is displayed. Hover your mouse over the date for a more exact time/date.

    • The current status of the page is displayed. A page will have one of a number of statuses:

      • Live: Published and accessible to website visitors

      • Draft: Not live on the website

      • In Moderation: In the middle of a moderation workflow

      • Scheduled: Not live, but has a publication date set

      • Expired: Not live - this page was unpublished as it had an expiry date set which has now passed

      • Live + Draft: A version of the page is live, but a newer version is in draft mode.

      • Live + (another status): A version of the page is live, but a newer version has another status.

The Explorer menu
  • Click the Pages button in the sidebar to open the explorer. This allows you to navigate through the sections of the site.

  • Clicking the name of a page will take you to the Explorer page for that section.

  • Clicking the edit icon for a page will take you to its edit screen.

  • Clicking the arrow takes you to the sub-section.

  • Clicking the section title takes you back to where you were.

_images/explorer_menu.png
The Explorer page

The Explorer page allows you to view a page’s children and perform actions on them. From here you can publish/unpublish pages, move pages to other sections, drill down further into the content tree, or reorder pages under the parent for the purposes of display in menus.

_images/explorer_page.png
  • The name of the section you are looking at is displayed below the breadcrumb (the row of page names beginning with the home icon). Each section is also itself a page (in this case the homepage). Clicking the title of the section takes you to the Edit screen for the section page.

  • As the heading suggests, below are the child pages of the section. Clicking the titles of each child page will take you to its Edit screen.

_images/arrow_child.png

Clicking the arrows will display a further level of child pages. As you drill down through the site the breadcrumb (the row of pages beginning with the home icon) will display the path you have taken. Clicking on the page titles in the breadcrumb will take you to the Explorer screen for that page.

_images/add_child_page.png

To add further child pages press the Add child page button below the parent page title. You can view the parent page on the live site by pressing the View live button. The Move button will take you to the Move page screen where you can reposition the page and all its child pages in the site structure. Similar buttons are available for each child page. These are made visible on hover.

_images/sort.png
  • Clicking the “Sort” control in the header row will enable the reordering handles. This allows you to reorder the way that content displays in the main menu of your website.

  • Reorder by dragging the pages by the handles on the far left (the icon made up of 6 dots).

  • Your new order will be automatically saved each time you drag and drop an item.

CMS Mechanism to display a webpage

Creating new pages

_images/new_page.png

Create new pages by clicking the Add child page button. This creates a child page of the section you are currently in. In this case a child page of the ‘Home’ page.

Selecting a page type

_images/page_type.png

On the left of the page chooser screen are listed all the types of pages that you can create. Clicking the page type name will take you to the Create new page screen for that page type (see below).

Clicking the Pages using … Page links on the right will display all the pages that exist on the website of this type. This is to help you judge what type of page you will need to complete your task.

Inserting images and videos in a page

There may be instances in which you will want to add images to a page. There are two main ways to add images to pages, either via a specific image chooser field, or via the rich text field image button. The steps below will explain the first method.

Inserting images using the image chooser field

Often a specific image field will be used for a main image on a page, or for an image to be used when sharing the page on social media.

_images/insert_image.png

You insert an image by clicking the Choose an image button.

Choosing an image to insert

You have two options when selecting an image to insert:

  • Selecting an image from the existing image library, or…

  • Uploading a new image to the CMS When you click the Choose an image button you will be presented with a pop-up with two tabs at the top. The first, Search, allows you to search and select from the library. The second, Upload, allows you to upload a new image.

Choosing an image from the image library

The image below demonstrates finding and inserting an image that is already present in the CMS image library.

_images/insert_existing_image.png
  1. Typing into the search box will automatically display the results below.

  2. Clicking one of the Popular tags will filter the search results by that tag.

  3. Clicking an image will take you to the Choose a format window (see image below).

Uploading a new image to the CMS
_images/upload_new_image.png
  1. You must include an image title for your uploaded image

  2. Click the Choose file button to choose an image from your computer.

  3. Tags allows you to associate tags with the image you are uploading. This allows them to be more easily found when searching. Each tag should be separated by a space. Good practice for creating multiple word tags is to use an underscore between each word.

  4. Click Upload to insert the uploaded image into the carousel. The image will also be added to the main CMS image library for reuse in other content.

Inserting videos into body content

It is possible to embed media into the body text of a web page by clicking the Embed button in rich text toolbar. Copy and paste the web address for the media into the URL field and click Insert.

CMS Mechanism to edit a Mukau webpage

Edit existing pages

Here is how you can access the edit screen of an existing page: Clicking the title of the page in an Explorer page or in search results. Clicking the Edit link below the title in either of the situations above. Clicking the Edit icon for a page in the explorer menu.

_images/edit_page.png
  • When editing an existing page the title of the page being edited is displayed at the top of the page. Underneath the title, you can find the page type and a link to the page history.

  • If published, a link to the live version of the page is shown on the top right.

  • You can change the title of the page by clicking into the title field.

  • When you are typing into a field, help text is often displayed on the right-hand side of the screen.

Workflow

If the page is currently in workflow, you’ll see an additional indicator underneath the title, giving the current workflow task. Clicking this will show more information about the page’s progress through the workflow, as well as any comments left by reviewers.

_images/workflow.png

If you can perform moderation actions (for example, approval or requesting changes) on the current task, you’ll see additional options in the action menu at the bottom of the page.

Edit Page tabs

A common feature of the Edit pages for all page types is the three tabs at the top of the screen. The first, Content, is where you build the content of the page itself.

The Promote tab

The second, Promote, is where you can set all the ‘metadata’ (data about data!) for the page. Below is a description of all default fields in the promote tab and what they do. 1. Slug: The last part of the web address for the page. E.g. the slug for a blog page called ‘East Africa Drought Watch would be east-africa-drought-watch. This is automatically generated from the main page title set in the Content tab. This can be overridden by adding a new slug into the field. Slugs should be entirely lowercase, with words separated by hyphens (-).

  1. Page title: An optional, search-engine friendly page title. This is the title that appears in the tab of your browser window. It is also the title that would appear in a search engine if the page was returned as part of a set of search results.

  2. Show in menus: Ticking this box will ensure that the page is included in automatically generated menus on your site. Note: A page will only display in menus if all of its parent pages also have Show in menus ticked. Search description: This field allows you to add text that will be displayed if the page appears in search results. This is especially useful to distinguish between similarly named pages.

_images/promote_tab.png

The Settings Tab

The Settings tab has two fields by default.

_images/settings_tab.png
  1. Go Live date/time: Sets the time at which the changes should go live when published. See Scheduled Publishing for more details.

  2. Expiry date/time: Sets the time at which this page should be unpublished.

Previewing and submitting pages for moderation

The Save/Preview/Submit for moderation menu is always present at the bottom of the page edit/creation screen. The menu allows you to perform the following actions, dependent on whether you are an editor, moderator or administrator:

_images/moderation.png
  • Save draft: Saves your current changes but doesn’t submit the page for moderation and so won’t be published. (all roles)

  • Submit for moderation: Saves your current changes and submits the page for moderation. The page will then enter a moderation workflow: a set of tasks which, when all are approved, will publish the page (by default, depending on your site settings). This button may be missing if the site administrator has disabled moderation, or hasn’t assigned a workflow to this part of the site. (all roles)

  • Preview: Opens a new window displaying the page as it would look if published, but does not save your changes or submit the page for moderation. (all roles)

  • Publish/Unpublish: Clicking the Publish button will publish this page. Clicking the Unpublish button will take you to a confirmation screen asking you to confirm that you wish to unpublish this page. If a page is published it will be accessible from its specific URL and will also be displayed in site search results. (moderators and administrators only)

  • Delete: Clicking this button will take you to a confirmation screen asking you to confirm that you wish to delete the current page. Be sure that this is actually what you want to do, as deleted pages are not recoverable. In many situations simply unpublishing the page will be enough. (moderators and administrators only)

CMS Administrator Tasks

This section of the guide documents how to perform common tasks as an administrator of Mukau’s CMS Site.

Managing users and roles

As an administrator, a common task will be adding, modifying or removing user profiles. This is done via the ‘Users’ interface, which can be found in the Settings menu, accessible via the left-hand menu bar.

_images/settings_menu.png

In this interface you can see all of your users, their usernames, their ‘level’ of access (otherwise known as their ‘role’), and their status, either active or inactive. You can sort this listing either via Name or Username.

_images/users.png

Clicking on a user’s name will open their profile details. From here you can then edit that users details.

Note

It is possible to change user’s passwords in this interface, but it is worth encouraging your users to use the ‘Forgotten password’ link on the login screen instead. This should save you some time!

Click the ‘Roles’ tab to edit the level of access your users have. By default there are three roles:

Role

Create/view drafts

Publish content

Access Settings

Editor

Yes

No

No

Moderator

Yes

Yes

No

Administrator

Yes

Yes

Yes

Managing Workflows

Workflows allow you to configure how moderation works on your site. Workflows are sequences of tasks, all of which must be approved before the workflow completes (by default, this results in the publication of the page, but depends on your site settings).

The workflow management interface is accessed via the Workflows item in the Settings submenu, found in the left menu bar.

_images/workflow_dashboard.png

In this interface you can see all of the workflows on your site, and the order of tasks in each. You can click on a workflow to edit it or to assign it to part of the page tree, or use the Add a workflow button to create a new workflow. The number of pages each workflow applies to is also shown, and can be clicked for a complete listing.

Editing workflows
_images/edit_workflow.png

Under Add tasks to your workflow, you can add, remove, or reorder tasks in a workflow. When adding a task to a workflow, you will be given the option to create a new task, or reuse an existing one.

Under Assign your workflow to pages, you can see a list of the pages to which the workflow has been assigned: any child pages will also have the same workflow, so if a workflow is assigned to the root page, it becomes the default workflow. You may remove it from pages using the Delete button to the right of each entry, or assign it to a page using the Choose a page button.

The action menu at the bottom allows you to save your changes, or to disable the workflow, which will cancel all pages currently in moderation on this workflow, and prevent others from starting it. On a previously disabled workflow, there is also the option to enable it again.

Creating and editing tasks

_images/edit_tasks.png

In the tasks interface, accessible via the Workflow Tasks item in the Settings submenu, you can see a list of the tasks currently available, as well as which workflows use each task. Similarly to workflows, you can click an existing task to edit it, or the Add a task button to create a new task.

When creating a task, if you have multiple task types available, these will be offered as options. By default, only group approval tasks are available. Creating a group approval task, you will be able to select one or multiple groups: members of any of these, as well as administrators, will be able to approve or reject moderation for this task.

_images/new_workflow_task.png

When editing a task, you may find that some fields - including the name - are uneditable. This is to ensure workflow history remains consistent - if you find yourself needing to change the name, it is recommended that you disable the old task, and create a new one with the name you need. Disabling a task will cause any pages currently in moderation on that task to skip to the next task.

CMS Mapviewer Manager

In addition to managing static page content within the East Africa Drought Watch, the CMS also offers a layer manager which allows maintenance of the layers available on the mapviewer. This maintenance tasks which will be further explained include:

  1. Creating, updating and deleting a datasets

  2. Creating, updating and deleting a layer/ layers belonging to a dataset

  3. Creating, updating and deleting dataset categories and assigning a dataset to its relevant category

  4. Creating, updating and deleting legends (symbology) and assigning it to a layer

  5. Creating, updating and deleting metadata information and linking it to a dataset

_images/layer_manager.png

Creating, updating and deleting legends (symbology) and assigning it to a layer

The legend describes the symbols appearing on the map to permit better understanding or interpretation of it. Within the CMS, to create a new legend, click on the add legend button at the top right as shown below:

_images/add_legend.png

Legend attributes include a title, a legend type (basic, choropleth, gradient) and legend items (name, color, minimum and maximum value corresponding to each class). The color must be in HEX format.

_images/legend_attributes.png

Note

Creating a legend only creates the symbology representation on the mapviewer. To change the actual colors showing on the map for each layer, edit classification mapfiles as explained in MapServer mapfiles section.


Creating, updating and deleting dataset categories

_images/mapviewer_dataset_categories.png

Dataset categories group datasets into a common phenomena they share. eg. vegetation, precipitation, background, e.t.c. To create a dataset category , under snippets select dataset categories option and add a data category as shown below:

_images/add_dataset_categories.png _images/create_dataset_category.png

Creating, updating and deleting a datasets

A dataset is a collection of layers within the mapviewer that share a common timescale, category and interest. E.g A Combined Drought Indicator dataset (multilayer) datasets contains both the Alert levels layer (Watch, Warning and Alert) and Recovery layer (partial and full recover).

A dataset is said to be multilayer is it contains more than one layer. The additional layers to the active one are nested below it on the legend.

Datasets with a single layers only show a single layer on the mapviewer’s layer menu.

A published dataset will be visible on the mapviewer. To hide the visibiility of a dataset on the mapviewer, leave the published option unchecked.

To create a dataset , under snippets select dataset option and add a dataset as shown below:

_images/add_dataset.png _images/create_dataset.png

Follow instructions below to create a layer.


Creating, updating and deleting a layer/ layers belonging to a dataset

To create a layer, select add layer button at the bottom of the add dataset form and provide necessary information.

_images/add_layer.png

Note

It is recommended to enable both default and active checkboxes on the form for dataset ciomprised of a sinlge layer while enabling active box only for the primary layer in a multilayer dataset.


Creating, updating and deleting metadata information and linking it to a dataset

This is the information the dataset. This includes a title, subtitle, function/purpose, resolution, Frequency of updates, geographic coverage, citation, caution, license, a general overview, link redirects toi download and learn more about the data , e.t.c.

To create a meatadata, select add metadata button in the snippet section at the bottom of the add dataset form and provide necessary information.

To create metadata , under snippets select metdata option and add metadata linking it to a dataset as shown below:

_images/add_metadata.png